Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000172 0.000191 0.000211 0.000234 0.000260 0.000289 0.000323
2025-03-30 0.000142 0.000170 0.000203 0.000244 0.000295 0.000356 0.000436
2025-04-06 0.000117 0.000148 0.000187 0.000239 0.000308 0.000396 0.000521
2025-04-13 0.000097 0.000128 0.000169 0.000226 0.000307 0.000417 0.000581
2025-04-20 0.000087 0.000119 0.000163 0.000227 0.000322 0.000459 0.000675
2025-04-27 0.000080 0.000113 0.000160 0.000232 0.000343 0.000510 0.000790
2025-05-04 0.000073 0.000106 0.000154 0.000231 0.000353 0.000547 0.000886
2025-05-11 0.000067 0.000101 0.000150 0.000233 0.000369 0.000593 0.001003
2025-05-18 0.000062 0.000095 0.000145 0.000231 0.000378 0.000628 0.001108
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000090 0.000141 0.000230 0.000387 0.000665 0.001219
2025-06-01 0.000053 0.000085 0.000135 0.000227 0.000393 0.000696 0.001324
2025-06-08 0.000048 0.000078 0.000128 0.000218 0.000388 0.000707 0.001390
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000075 0.000126 0.000220 0.000403 0.000759 0.001554
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000074 0.000126 0.000228 0.000430 0.000839 0.001798
2025-06-29 0.000040 0.000069 0.000121 0.000223 0.000432 0.000868 0.001931
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000064 0.000112 0.000211 0.000419 0.000865 0.001987
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000061 0.000110 0.000212 0.000431 0.000918 0.002193
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000060 0.000110 0.000217 0.000453 0.000995 0.002475
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000215 0.000461 0.001042 0.002689
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000217 0.000477 0.001109 0.002973
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000054 0.000103 0.000215 0.000484 0.001157 0.003212
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000214 0.000492 0.001207 0.003472
2025-08-24 0.000026 0.000049 0.000098 0.000212 0.000496 0.001248 0.003712